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Ford Motor Company F

How much of Ford Motor Company's U.S. consumer revenue is funded by new credit? Read the estimate, then inspect the evidence.

2026-Q1 · estimated DFR% of U.S. consumer revenue
19.05%
Midpoint with 80% bandTier 1–3Provenance
Estimated DFR% band: 16.18% to 22.26%, midpoint 19.05% 16.18% 19.05% 22.26%
Low16.18%Midpoint19.05%High22.26%

Estimated 80% band · share of U.S. consumer revenue

View chart data and provenance
Text equivalent for the current estimated DFR% band for Ford Motor Company.
Period2026-Q1
Estimated 80% band16.18% to 22.26% of U.S. consumer revenue
Estimated midpoint19.05% of U.S. consumer revenue
EvidenceTier 1–3
ProvenanceCompany evidence and assumptions

Estimated midpoint: $4,897 million debt-funded consumer revenue / $25,707 million estimated U.S. consumer revenue.

2026-Q1 · share of estimated debt-funded revenue
Tier 1 56.7%Tier 2 39.5%Tier 3 3.8%
View chart data and provenance
Text equivalent for the evidence-tier decomposition of estimated debt-funded revenue.
ComponentShareMeaning
Tier 156.7%Observed company financing link
Tier 239.5%Category-mapped allocation
Tier 33.8%Fungible proportional allocation
ProvenanceCompany evidence and registered assumptions
Tier definitions
T1 — Observed
A company disclosure directly links financing to sales.
T2 — Category-mapped
Credit is mapped to spending categories, then to companies using registered weights.
T3 — Fungible
Credit that cannot be assigned directly is allocated broadly by estimated consumer revenue, with the widest uncertainty.

Tier percentages show how the estimate was constructed—not confidence scores. Full methodology

2026-Q1 · multiple of Tier 3 baseline
12.37x
Evidence LiftDefinition

DFR% midpoint divided by this company's 1.54% pure-fungibility baseline.

Evidence-supported

History

Estimated 14.99%–20.68% of U.S. consumer revenue
Midpoint 17.62%

UPDATED_TTM_FROM_10Q · Versioned source record

Estimated 12.82%–17.63% of U.S. consumer revenue
Midpoint 15.08%

BASELINE_NO_NEW_10Q · Versioned source record

Estimated 16.18%–22.26% of U.S. consumer revenue
Midpoint 19.05%

VERSIONED_BASELINE · Versioned source record

Versioned estimated DFR% bands for Ford Motor Company 2026-05-222026-Q1 refresh · Estimated 14.99%–20.68% · UPDATED_TTM_FROM_10Q2026-08-192026-Q2 refresh · Estimated 12.82%–17.63% · BASELINE_NO_NEW_10Q2026-08-062026-Q1 methodology snapshot · Estimated 16.18%–22.26% · VERSIONED_BASELINE
View chart data and provenance
Text equivalent for every versioned estimated DFR% band in the history chart.
Effective dateRecordEstimated lowEstimated midpointEstimated highStatus and provenance
2026-05-222026-Q1 refresh14.99% of U.S. consumer revenue17.62% of U.S. consumer revenue20.68% of U.S. consumer revenueUPDATED_TTM_FROM_10Q · Versioned source record
2026-08-192026-Q2 refresh12.82% of U.S. consumer revenue15.08% of U.S. consumer revenue17.63% of U.S. consumer revenueBASELINE_NO_NEW_10Q · Versioned source record
2026-08-062026-Q1 methodology snapshot16.18% of U.S. consumer revenue19.05% of U.S. consumer revenue22.26% of U.S. consumer revenueVERSIONED_BASELINE · Versioned source record

Refresh records are append-only. A new filing adds a record; it never replaces the earlier band.

Evidence

InputEvidenceTier
Financing-to-sales link“The predominant share of Ford Credit's business consists of financing our vehicles.” Specific SEC filingTier 1
Revenue denominatorPinned SEC XBRL filing; U.S. consumer share is registered as an assumption.Tier 2

Assumptions

Sensitivity

Top five assumptions by absolute correlation with the estimated band.

  1. A-T1-F-CAPTIVE-001 — increases the estimate; absolute correlation 0.634.
  2. A-DEN-F-001 — decreases the estimate; absolute correlation 0.610.
  3. A-T2-NONREV-AUTO-002 — increases the estimate; absolute correlation 0.458.
  4. A-T2-REV-GENERAL-001 — increases the estimate; absolute correlation 0.051.
  5. A-T3-REV-FUNGIBLE-001 — increases the estimate; absolute correlation 0.022.