DFRIDebt-Funded Revenue Index
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Federal outlays · 2026-08-31

Recorded 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC under mts-benchmark-empirical-v1:mts-ar2-ols-v1; append-only after acceptance.

2026-08-31 · Treasury MTS · $M
629,715
unadjusted monthly total · $MAwaiting first printMTS source
Prediction band: 442,777 to 816,653, point 629,715 442,777629,715816,653
Low442,777Point629,715High816,653

95% prediction interval · $M

View chart data and provenance
Text equivalent for this immutable prediction and both published uncertainty intervals.
Series and periodFederal outlays, 2026-08-31
Point629,715 millions of U.S. dollars
80% interval497,560 to 761,870 millions of U.S. dollars
95% interval442,777 to 816,653 millions of U.S. dollars
StatusAwaiting first print
ProvenanceDated Treasury MTS issues

Record

Prediction ID
prd_889079bbe1d95e59c12c75ad30ebb8b9d207c45799855ea96ed4dd2aaf65c03f
Model version
mts-benchmark-empirical-v1:mts-ar2-ols-v1
Input hash
bd37b50848676f1f00fd4f66a6082841efbb5aec4478a51c70f7302751984159
Input sources
Input set bound by the input hash above: U.S. Treasury MTS dated issues. Grading uses the same dated first-print issue.
80% interval
497,560 to 761,870
95% interval
442,777 to 816,653
Status
Awaiting first print
Actual first print
Not released
Absolute error
—
First-print vintage
Not released