Changelog
Methodology, model, and publication changes. Prior records are not silently rewritten.
2026-08-10 · publication · 1.2.1
Added visible text-equivalent tables for every published flow, band, and company evidence-decomposition chart; published append-only corrections and scope-boundary policies; and added permanent build checks for those accessibility contracts without changing any estimate or feed.
Corrections policy · Roadmap and boundaries · Credit flow
2026-08-10 · publication · 1.2.1
Added per-lane run and release-SLA status, visible status and fallback notices, failure issues, versioned JSON/RSS events, deterministic social previews, exact dependency and vulnerability gates, and a conditional citation surface that remains absent until a real DOI is verified.
Status · Event feed · RSS
2026-08-10 · methodology · 1.2.1
Added a reviewed TJX private-label-card lane using two dated Synchrony trust filings with program-level receivables; preserved methodology 1.2.0, left all 49 unaffected company result objects unchanged, and published the restatement under the versioned v2 assumption feed.
TJX · Version comparison · Assumption feed v2
2026-08-10 · publication · mts-point-in-time-backtest-v1
Added immutable, first-print-graded Monthly Treasury Statement predictions for federal deficit and total outlays; benchmark selection, empirical intervals, and live calibration remain separate for each series and never alter or blend with G.19 records.
Scoreboard · Methodology · Scoreboard feed
2026-08-10 · methodology · 1.2.0
Retired the NY Fed Household Debt and Credit source from the active auto-allocation assumption; reconciled FFIEC bank, NCUA credit-union, Federal Reserve Board G.19, and SEC Auto ABS evidence; separately versioned the resulting 50-company and headline-index restatement; and added computed source criticality with independent fallbacks and visible degraded-source bands.
Methodology · Version comparison · Critical source strategy
2026-08-09 · publication · 1.1.1
Used the wide homepage's prediction rail for the live ledger count and existing historical backtest figures, while preserving explicit live-versus-backtest labels, mobile reading order, and the separate live-grade calibration record.
Prediction ledger · Scoreboard · Methodology
2026-08-09 · publication · 1.1.1
Separated the homepage claims into an ordered reading path, promoted the immutable prediction ledger, grouped 38 indistinguishable baseline-only Evidence Lift rows behind a native disclosure, and added a complete alphabetical company directory without changing any estimate or feed.
Companies · Prediction ledger · Evidence Lift
2026-08-08 · publication · 1.1.1
Compressed the heading scale so figures carry the hierarchy and added a server-rendered current-period flow view whose ribbon width represents estimated dollars and whose solid, dashed, and dotted styles expose evidence tiers without color dependence.
Credit flow · Methodology
2026-08-08 · publication · bridge-ridge-v2-alpha10
Published the first two live grades, prominently flagging that the revolving prediction missed direction and its 80% interval; added running live-only coverage and MAE comparisons without retraining or retuning the model.
Scoreboard · Scoreboard feed
2026-08-08 · publication · 1.1.1
Corrected the scoreboard compatibility status so every graded row reports GRADED, matching grade_status; the feed schema now states and tests that invariant.
Scoreboard feed · Feed schema
2026-08-06 · methodology · 1.1.1
Added Carvana's SEC-filed originated-auto-finance and ABS trust evidence, included CVNA in the covered-auto allocation, and published the derived Evidence Lift ranking under a non-breaking v2 company-feed schema.
Evidence Lift · Carvana · Company feed v2 · Feed schema v2
2026-08-05 · publication · 1.1.0
Recomputed the 2026-Q1 50-company attribution from six Board first-print monthly flows and point-in-time SEC filing facts; 35 denominators advanced through comparable 10-Q facts and 15 remained explicitly on their annual baseline.
Quarterly refresh feed · Company history feed · Methodology
2026-08-05 · methodology · 1.1.0
Expanded the evidence-first consumer-company universe from 10 to 50, published the dated 31-company exclusion ledger, and retained methodology 1.0.0 results for direct comparison.
Coverage ledger · Version comparison · Company feed
2026-08-05 · publication · 1.0.0
Clarified seasonally adjusted monthly-flow units, added plain-language forecast orientation and primary-source links, and made scoreboard sorting a JavaScript-only enhancement.
Scoreboard · Methodology
2026-08-05 · publication · 1.0.0
Canonicalized attribution registry hashing and text assets so Windows and Linux cold clones publish byte-identical provenance metadata and site assets.
Data schema · Methodology
2026-08-05 · methodology · 1.0.0
Published the first ten-company revenue-weighted DFRI estimate with 20,000-draw bands, tier shares, a public Assumption Registry, and company sensitivity rankings.
Methodology · Company feed · Assumptions feed
2026-08-04 · publication · bridge-ridge-v2-alpha10
Published the immutable Federal Reserve credit-flow scoreboard and registered the scheduled prediction and first-print grading lanes.
Scoreboard · Prediction feed